(THIS ARTICLE IS COURTESY OF THE BRAZILIAN NEWS AGENCY 247)
CELSO MARCONDES: OCTOBER ELECTIONS NOT ASSURED
Former director of the Lula Institute, Celso Marcondes analyzes that the October presidential elections, whose absolute majority of the voting intentions is for former president Lula, can be postponed; “Atrocious doubt, reinforced after the fall of Pedro Parente, that four months of the election will not arise a movement to defend the postponement of the electoral process,” he says
JUNE 2, 2018 AT 07:50 // SIGN UP FOR TV 247
By Celso Marcondes – Surely Temer, happy owner of an index of 3% of great and good in the surveys, in the next will take a debt with the institutes. From the doorman of the building in the Gardens to the banker, from the successful little businesswoman to the banana cutter, there is a unanimous sentiment close to the rejection of the president that nobody elected, but many people supported. “If I had a truck, it would go over his head,” an elderly caretaker confided to me in one of the softer comments I heard.
Certainty that grew in these weeks the contempt to the politicians in general, seen as incapable of accounting for an unprecedented and extremely complex situation that affected almost the entire Brazilian population. “In the next elections I will not vote for anyone,” a cleaning lady wrote yesterday, my friend on Facebook.
It is certain that contempt for politics historically nourishes the defenders of authoritarian exits, which is why the number of supporters of the military coup increased. The generals deny the hypothesis, but after taking care of Rio de Janeiro “to face violence”, they gained even more space by taking on the so-called “crisis cabinet” of the Alvorada Palace and putting the troops on the roads, more to fraternize than to hit truck driver.
Certainly deteriorated the situation of the country’s economy. The count of eleven days of movement is very salty. It will lead to the growth of unemployment and to the even greater scrapping of public services, among several other dire consequences.
It is certain that life has become even more difficult for the defenders of the so-called “center candidate to combat the two extremes,” euphemism used to disguise the name to be cacifado by the so-called “market” or “system” or “the elites” or “the right, “or whatever name you want to give to who actually rules in this country. Huck, Doria, Carmen Lúcia, Joaquim Barbosa and even Temer stayed on the road after being tested and not approved. They left Alckmin, Meirelles and Rodrigo Maia, of whom few people would be willing to buy a used car after the tsunami of those days.
Doubt whether the “market” would invest its pennies in Bolsonaro, the candidate who exudes a minority sector of the population always existing and previously barely visible, but uncontrollable by the powerful and visibly incapable.
Doubt if the one in charge in the country can withstand until September a situation in which the only person with the authority and proven ability to dialogue and negotiate with Greeks and Trojans is kept imprisoned and the jail leads all opinion polls.
Doubt that even if the most popular leadership was declared ineligible, towards the end of August, the “system” would face an absolutely unpredictable election, with five or six candidates embarrassed in the polls to contest two vacancies in a very short campaign with many people willing to abstain from voting.
Atrocious doubt, reinforced after the fall of Pedro Parente, that four months of the election does not appear a movement to defend the postponement of the electoral process. Let Temer press Abdicate for the mayor at a meeting outside the official agenda at eleven o’clock in the basement of the Jaburu Palace. Or at a law firm in São Paulo at the weekend. Meeting with the presence of characters such as the two largest bankers in the country, the owner of the largest communication network, the presidents of Fiesp and the National Confederation of Agriculture. Or, another way, that generals or renowned jurists approach the resilient president and say to the ears “have given to you, you are not able to hold the wave until December, better to ask to leave.”
“Legal insecurity”, “institutional crisis”, “political and social insecurity” (the elections would have taken place if they were scheduled for last Sunday?), In the country of legal abuses, any of these arguments could be used to change the schedule.
Finally, at the doors of the World Cup, some certainties, beyond the hope in the Tite team. And so many doubts that lead to the other great, very cruel.